PUMA in WA will unite together!

PUMA stands for "People United Means Action!" You may know that there is another, more defiant meaning for the acronym P.U.M.A. There will be no unity in the Democratic party until the voices of the 18 million voters who support Hillary Clinton are heard and heeded.

We are motivated to action by our shared belief that the current leadership of the Democratic National Committee has abrogated its responsibility to represent the interests of all democrats in all 50 states. They are misleading our party and aim to mislead our country into nominating an illegitimate candidate for president in 2008. Our goals are fourfold:


1. To support the candidacy of Hillary Clinton in 2008 / 2012.

2. To lobby and organize for changes in leadership in the DNC

3. To critique and oppose the misogyny, discrimination, and disinformation in the mainstream media, including mainstream blogs and other outlets of new media

4. To support the efforts of those political figures who have allied themselves with Hillary Clinton and who have demonstrated commitment to our first three goals

DAILY Rasmussen Poll:

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Thursday shows Barack Obama attracting 49% of the vote while John McCain earns 46%.

Friday, August 15, 2008

Life with Obama, Abortion Champion

By David Freddoso

The tiny newborn baby made very little noise as he struggled to breathe. He lacked the strength to cry. He had been born four months premature.

“At that age,” says nurse Jill Stanek, “their lungs haven’t matured.”

Stanek is the nurse who found herself cradling this baby in her hands for all of his 45-minute lifetime. He was close to ten inches long and weighed perhaps half a pound. It’s just a guess — no one had weighed or measured him at birth. No happy family had been there to welcome him into the world. No one was trying to save his life now, putting him into an incubator, giving him oxygen or nourishment. He had just been left to die. More...


Stanek had seen it all happen. That family had wanted a baby, but when they learned that theirs would be born with Down syndrome, they wanted an abortion. For that, they went to Christ Hospital in the southwestern suburbs of Chicago, which is affiliated with the United Church of Christ.

In “induced labor” or “prostaglandin” abortion — a common procedure at the hospital — the doctor administers drugs that dilate the mother’s cervix and induce contractions, forcing a small baby out of the mother’s uterus. Most of the time, the baby dies in utero, killed by the force of the violent contractions. But it does not always work. Such abortions sometimes result in a premature baby being born alive. Sometimes the survivors live for just a few minutes, but sometimes for several hours. No one tried to save or treat them — it is hard to save someone you just mauled trying to kill. But something had to be done with them for the minutes and hours during which they struggled for air.

Stanek says her friend had been told to take this baby and leave him in a soiled utility closet. She offered to take him instead. “I couldn’t let him die alone,” she says.

Stanek was horrified by this experience. This was not an abortion — it was something worse. Could it be legal to take a living and breathing person of any size, already born and outside his mother’s womb, and just leave him to die, without any thought of treatment?

Hospital officials dismissed Stanek’s concerns. She then approached the Republican attorney general of Illinois, Jim Ryan, who issued a finding several months later that Christ Hospital was doing nothing illegal under the laws of Illinois. Doctors had no ethical or legal obligation to treat these premature babies. They had passed the bright line of birth that had effectively limited the right to life since the Roe v. Wade decision, but under the law they were non-persons.

Stanek’s effort to right this wrong would lead her to testify before various committees. It would lead her to a state senator, Patrick O’Malley, who would propose a bill to stop what was going on at the hospital.

Her attempt to change a corrupt medical practice and bring hope to defenseless infants would put her on a collision course with a state senator named Barack Obama.

On March 30, 2001, Obama was the only senator to speak in opposition to a bill that would have banned the practice of leaving premature abortion survivors to die. The bill, SB 1095, was carefully limited, its language unambiguous. It applied only to premature babies, already born alive. It stated simply that under Illinois law, “the words ‘person,’ ‘human being,’ ‘child,’ and ‘individual’ include every infant member of the species homo sapiens who is born alive at any stage of development.”

Two related bills introduced that day included slightly more controversial provisions about liability and medical procedure, but SB 1095 did not go nearly that far. This bill did not apply to those not born, nor did it grant born persons anything beyond recognition of their rights as persons.

Under this bill, SB 1095, babies born alive during an abortion would have to be treated just like every other baby that is born alive and prematurely — not left to die as at Christ Hospital, but given treatment according to an acting physician’s medical judgment as to what is necessary and what is possible — the same standard that applies to any other human being.

There was no legal conflict between this bill and the right to legal abortion, but Barack Obama was still uneasy with the idea. He and 11 other senators would vote “present” in a strategy worked out with Planned Parenthood lobbyists (“present” votes in the Illinois senate essentially count as “no” votes). The bill would pass the Senate easily with a bipartisan majority, only to die in a House committee.

Here is what Obama said on the Senate floor that day in opposition to the bill:
There was some suggestion that we might be able to craft something that might meet constitutional muster with respect to caring for fetuses or children who were delivered in this fashion. Unfortunately, this bill goes a little bit further, and so … this is probably not going to survive constitutional scrutiny. Number one, whenever we define a pre-viable fetus as a person that is protected by the equal protection clause or other elements in the Constitution, what we’re really saying is, in fact, that they are persons that are entitled to the kinds of protections that would be provided to a — a child, a nine-month-old — child that was delivered to term. That determination, then, essentially, if it was accepted by a court, would forbid abortions to take place. I mean, it — it would essentially bar abortions, because the equal protection clause does not allow somebody to kill a child, and if this is a child, then this would be an antiabortion statute.
The absurd conclusion of Obama’s argument is hard to miss. He implies that “pre-viable” babies born prematurely, even without abortions, are somehow less “persons” than are babies who undergo nine months’ gestation before birth.

But even this is not the most important part of his argument. That would be his first sentence — the one about “caring for fetuses or children who were delivered in this fashion.” He seems open to this idea. And he does not state explicitly that a pre-viable, premature baby is not a “person.” Rather, he is arguing that the question of their personhood is a moot point. Even if the state should perhaps provide care for these babies, any recognition of their personhood might threaten someone’s right to an abortion somewhere down the road. That made the bill unacceptable to him.

Most people, whatever their view on abortion, agree that the Constitution at least guarantees the rights of born and living human beings. Barack Obama does not agree. For him, the Constitution exists primarily in order to guarantee the right to abortion, and other rights of human persons — born and alive — are secondary. Beginning with abortion rights as his premise, he draws as his conclusion the unfortunate but necessary legality of infanticide.

Given Obama’s position on babies born alive, it should come as no surprise that he opposes and denounces all restrictions on every kind of abortion, including partial-birth abortions. He promised at a Planned Parenthood event in July 2007 that “the first thing” he will do as president — his top priority for the nation — is sign the Freedom of Choice Act, which would erase every federal and state restriction on abortion, no matter how modest. His top priority, again, is to re-legalize partial birth abortion under all circumstances, abolish all laws on informed consent and parental notification, and eliminate all state restrictions on taxpayer funding of abortions.

No humanitarian impulse or consideration of bipartisanship has ever swayed Barack Obama’s legislative mind on the issue of abortion. Pro-life voters who try to convince themselves otherwise engage in willful self-deception.

Obama would speak against the born-alive protection bill once again when it was proposed in 2002, and he would kill the bill when it came before the committee he chaired in 2003, after Democrats had taken control of the Illinois General Assembly. His is a radical position that most abortion-choice advocates do not share.

Sen. Barbara Boxer (D., Calif.) does not share his position. In 2001, just three months after Obama inveighed against protecting premature babies in Illinois, the United States Senate voted on the language of the Born Alive Infants Protection Act. It contained no significant legal differences from the Illinois bill, but it did contain even more specific and redundant language stating that the bill did not apply to the unborn, only those already born.

But in case there is any ambiguity, the federal bill was identical, word for word, to the bill that Obama voted to kill two years later in the Illinois senate health committee, which he chaired. Obama’s work to kill the bill in 2003 has always been attested to by witnesses (committee records are poorly kept in Springfield), but yesterday the National Right to Life Committee found and revealed the document showing definitively that Obama had voted against it in committee — against the exact same bill he is now falsely claiming on his own campaign website that he would have supported.

On June 29, 2001, Boxer had spoken in favor of that same bill, the federal Born-Alive Infants Protection Act, on the floor of the U.S. Senate: “Of course, we believe everyone born should deserve the protections of this bill,” she said. “Who could be more vulnerable than a newborn baby? So, of course, we agree with that.…We join with an ‘aye’ vote on this. I hope it will, in fact, be unanimous.” It was unanimous: 98–0. Even Hillary Clinton voted for it.

At the time Boxer spoke enthusiastically in favor of protecting premature babies, she had a 100-percent lifetime voting score from NARAL and a 100 percent score from the Planned Parenthood Action Fund. She was also a leader on the abortion issue. She was the greatest ally that abortion-choice advocates had in the United States Senate.

At least she was until 2005, the year Barack Obama was sworn in.

— David Freddoso is a National Review Online staff reporter and author of The Case Against Barack Obama.

Thursday, August 14, 2008

The Media Had Things Wrong From the Start

August 14, 2008
By Steven Stark

With the polls continuing to show John McCain giving Barack Obama a run for his money, much of the press has seemed flummoxed by the turn of events. After all, the narrative of this campaign was supposed to be how a triumphant Obama rode discontent against the Bush administration to an overwhelming victory.

That still could happen. But if reporters seem surprised at the way things have gone so far, it may be because their account of what has already happened is flawed. As the poet once said, what's past is prologue. More...

The dominant narratives of this race have been how Obama upset the odds (and the Clintons) through a brilliant campaign, and how McCain mostly stumbled his way to the nomination, staging a comeback in New Hampshire and riding the momentum to victory. But maybe that's not what really happened. In truth, Obama always had a much better chance of emerging as the nominee than the press gave him credit for -- which is why this column even made him the slight favorite over Hillary Clinton way back in March 2007.

Yes, Obama was new to the national political scene. But in the primaries, insurgency is often an advantage, especially if the novice is as brilliant an orator as Obama. More important, because of Obama's race, he knew that if he could get a successful launch in Iowa or New Hampshire, he could count on solid support in the African-American community that would guarantee him more than a third of the delegates needed to nominate. That's one heck of a benefit, and he took advantage of it.

Moreover, Clinton was never as strong as advertised -- in part because she's not an exceptional campaigner, but mostly because of Clinton fatigue. If she could be beaten early (and she was), it was axiomatic that much of the support she had garnered simply by being the front-runner would evaporate.

True, Obama ran a creditable campaign and proved himself a brilliant fundraiser. But he was no powerhouse. Outside of a few states, such as Wisconsin and Missouri, he was never really able to expand his base beyond his coalition of African-Americans, the young, and the well-educated.

Every time he had a chance to beat Clinton decisively enough to force her from the race -- in New Hampshire or Texas or Pennsylvania or Indiana -- he lost. In fact, had Clinton not committed a major strategic blunder by failing to get organized for the large caucus states, she could have beaten him.

And, given Obama's major demographic advantages, that would have been the upset.

The Real Story

On the GOP side, McCain did catch some lucky breaks. The most notable was that the major figures in the party who could have beaten him -- Jeb Bush, Arnold Schwarzenegger, Newt Gingrich, even Colin Powell -- chose not to run for a variety of reasons. (In Schwarzenegger's case, the decision was made for him by the Constitution.) And true, the field that remained proved to be a weak one.

But McCain won mostly because Republicans almost always avoid upstarts and gravitate to the front-running figure in their party -- an inclination that, for the most part, has served them well in the past. Moreover and predictably, the experience McCain had obtained running in 2000 served him well. He had the guts to skip Iowa (maybe Clinton should have done the same) and he didn't panic when his campaign went through rough stretches. He also "gamed" the process better than anyone else, understanding that, if Rudy Giuliani's candidacy didn't take off, the former New York mayor's support would go to McCain -- as it did on Super Tuesday, giving McCain a lead in delegates that proved decisive.

Given all this, Democrats have reason to be concerned -- even if, at the moment, their confidence has been bolstered by the mostly glowing press coverage their nominee has received. History shows that the Democrats are up against an experienced, steady Republican candidate who is unlikely to make major mistakes. And their nominee, after a brilliant start in January and February to launch his candidacy and cement his base, hasn't had a terrific six months. Obama continues to show few signs of extending his support to the demographics that are likely to decide the election -- principally the working-class voters concentrated in industrial states such as Ohio, Michigan, and Pennsylvania.

The good news for Obama and the Democrats is that the race doesn't really get serious (i.e., engage the public), until the conventions kick off the fall campaign at the end of August. A win is still well within their grasp. But it will happen only if they stop buying the press's view of the race and begin to recognize what's really transpired so far.

Boston Phoenix

AUG 26 MARCH IN DENVER AND FESTIVAL FOR HILLARY


We are happy to announce that 18 Million Voices Rise Hillary Rise will not only be Marching on August 26th in Denver and nationwide to support Senator Clinton and advocate for Women's Rights worldwide, but we will also be hosting a Festival in Denver's downtown Confluence Park all day on August 26th, and throughout the evening, celebrating the 88th anniversary of Women's suffrage and honoring Senator Hillary Clinton.

Please mark your calendars, and join us in Denver!!

And, please keep checking back to http://18millionvoice... for specific details of the Festival, the nationwide concurrent actions, and details on other actions taking place in Denver supporting Senator Hillary Clinton during the convention.


Thanks,
RiseHillaryRise
Organizer
18 Million Voices Rise Hillary Rise



Barack’s BARRY SOETORO school records found!!


From the every diligent TexasDarlin:

The AP caption reads: “This registration document, made available on Jan. 24, 2007, by the Fransiskus Assisi school in Jakarta, Indonesia, shows the registration of Barack Obama under the name Barry Soetoro into the Catholic school made by his step-father, Lolo Soetoro. The document lists Barry Soetoro as a Indonesian citizen, born on August 4, 1961 in Honolulu, and shows his Muslim step-father listed the boy’s religion as Islam. (AP Photo/ Tatan Syuflana)”.

Which of course discredits THIS picture. More...

And also an American Expat in SouthEast Asia
School
documents listed Barry Soetoro as an Indonesian citizen born in Honolulu, Hawaii on 4 August 1961. Barry’s religion was listed as Islam. School documents further record Barry’s father as “L Soetoro Ma” who worked as an official of the Director General’s office in the TNI Topography division of the Indonesian Army.

A classmate, Rony Amir describes Barry Soetoro as enjoying playing football and marbles and of being a very devout Muslim.
“Barry was previously quite religious in Islam. His birth father, Barack Hussein Obama was a Muslim economist from Kenya. Before marrying Ann Dunham, Hussein Obama was married to a woman from Kenya who had seven children. All the relatives of Barry’s father were very devout Muslims”
“We previously often asked him to the prayer room close to the house.” If he was wearing a sarong he looked funny , said Rony Amir, Barry’s classmate when he lived on H Ramli street in Menteng, Jakarta.”
I’ve stated before that I don’t care if Obama Soetoro is Muslim or not, I do care if he has lied about it. I don’t care what color his skin is and I don’t even care if he had gay sex with Larry Sinclair, what I care about is that he has been completely dishonest in all of it and has perpetuated the lie for years now. How can we trust a man to run the country if he can’t even be honest with himself and with us about who he is?
By all means, he should, and hopefully will be disbarred for lying on his official documents about not having other names. IF he has never legally changed his name to Barack Hussein Obama II, then he has falsified his records for running for POTUS and is summarily disqualified. Not withstanding these incidents, he has shown us he is UNFIT to serve either at POTUS or as a US Senator or any other public office.
I don’t think this trip is over. There are other things out there to be uncovered and may be even more damning than this is, if that’s possible. This “man” is not qualified morally, politically, intellectually NOR legally to be POTUS and MUST STEP DOWN AT ONCE!
Failure to step down will lead to civil action, possible impeachment from his office of Senator and disqualification from the Presidential Election. Obama is no longer a viable candidate for the General Election in legal terms regardless of whether the DNC wants him there or not. They cannot legally nominate him. Who is left? Oh yeah, Hillary is.
I guess the DNC will be moving back to DC or to NYC because Chicago is now out of the picture, Michelle won’t be speaking Monday night and they won’t need the 75,000 seat stadium anymore for the coronation of the Manchurian Candidate.
It’s over. Last one out, turn off the lights.




**CLINTON’S NAME TO BE PUT IN NOMINATION AT CONVENTION**



NY Times: Democratic officials reached the decision to place the New York Senator’s name on the ballot alongside Obama in Denver.

August 14, 2008, 10:50 am

Clinton’s Name Will Be Put in Nomination

Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton’s name will be placed into nomination at the Democratic National Convention, a symbolic move approved by the Obama campaign in an effort to soothe a lingering rift with Clinton supporters.

The decision was reached this week, according to Democratic officials, and will be announced later today. It comes after long negotiations on both sides, with many backers of Mrs. Clinton vigorously pushing for her candidacy to be validated by giving her delegates the chance to support her through a roll call vote.

For Democrats inside the convention center in Denver, as well as the television audience at home, it could create some interesting moments. After the state-by-state roll is tallied, Mrs. Clinton is expected to turn over her cache of delegates to Senator Barack Obama.

So how will Mrs. Clinton, who is a superdelegate herself, vote? Associates say she will throw her lot behind Mr. Obama and ask her supporters to follow suit. To see if it unfolds as the Obama campaign hopes – free of acrimony – tune in on Wednesday, Aug. 27

Officials expected to announce decision later Thursday.

Woman to Woman, Online

8/13/08
NY Times: Sites aimed primarily at women, from "mommy blogs" to makeup and fashion sites, grew 35 percent last year - faster than every other category on the Web except politics, according to comScore, an Internet traffic measurement company. Women's sites had 84 million visitors in July, 27 percent more than the same month last year, comScore said. To read more, please click on the title of this article.

Egypt: Female Film Director Faces Possible Flogging At Behest of Lawyer Affiliated With National Democratic Party

From the Women's Media Center
Arabic Network for Human Rights Information (Cairo)

PRESS RELEASE
13 August 2008
Posted to the web 14 August 2008

One of the lawyers affiliated with the Egyptian National Democratic Party (NDP) who is a specialist in "Hesba" cases (which involve alleged insults to God, which are deemed harmful to Islamic society) against authors and artists has demanded the flogging of an Egyptian female movie director. He sent an official warning to the Sheikh of Azhar demanding the execution of his request, said ANHRI on 13 August 2008. More...

The Hesba lawyer gave the Sheikh of Azhar eight days to execute the flogging of the prominent Egyptian female movie director, Enas El-Dighaidy, whom he said should receive eighty lashes because of a movie she directed, called "Diaries of a Teenager Girl", which he claims defames Egypt.

It is worth mentioning that this same Hesba lawyer demanded, in one of his previous court cases, the punishment of an Egyptian actress because she refrained from wearing a veil. He was also one of the lawyers who demanded that Ibrahim Eissa, chief editor of "Al-Dustour" newspaper, be put on trial in the case known as "the President's Health case".

ANHRI notes that Hesba has become a nightmare for authors and artists. Such Hesba cases could not have increased without the government's blessing and its cooperation with the Hesba lawyers. Such an attitude by the government allows for a heavy pressure to be exerted on brave journalists and bloggers, who are still paying a high price for allowing us to enjoy the benefits of a small margin of freedom of expression.

The Freedom of Expression Legal Aid Unit of ANHRI is strongly supporting El-Dighaidy and all Egyptian artists and creators and calls on all active entities and civil society organisations to stand against in both the religious and political spheres to the phenomenon of Hesba, whether these cases are filed by fame-seekers or instigated by the Egyptian government.

ANHRI also calls on all serious media institutions to ignore those Hesba lawyers and not to publish their names in order to avoid making false stars out of them and to minimise their chances of exercising more influence on the NDP, as well as to assure the right of every journalist or author to express him or herself, regardless of whether one agrees or not with their views.

For further information on the Eissa (Issa) case, see: http://www.ifex.org/en/content/view/full/93126

Relevant Links:
North AfricaEgypt Human Rights Legal and Judicial Affairs Women and Gender

Women's group wants Chris Matthews fired


Calling his treatment of women on his cable TV show sexist, the New Agenda urges MSNBC to not renew his contract.
August 14, 2008

A new women's organization is setting out to get Chris Matthews fired from his job on MSNBC, calling his treatment of women on his cable TV show sexist.

The nonpartisan group, called the New Agenda, held its first meeting this week and established as one of several goals getting Matthews yanked from his long-running show, "Hardball with Chris Matthews." More...

Matthews' contract is up for renewal next year. His plans are unclear. But in Pennsylvania, his home state, some Democrats have long hoped that Matthews -- who was an aide in Washington to several Democratic lawmakers and a presidential speechwriter in the Carter administration -- would abandon TV and run for the Senate in 2010 against the Republican incumbent, Arlen Specter.

The 30-some women who attended the inaugural New Agenda meeting in New York included representatives of women's groups from around the country along with supporters of Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton's now-defunct presidential campaign, according to one of the founders.

Amy Siskind of Westchester, N.Y., a founder and Clinton supporter, said the group was urging that Matthews' contract not be renewed because "the kind of language he uses and the kind of behavior he exhibits in the public domain toward women objectifies them and leads to bad things for our society and to domestic violence."

An MSNBC spokeswoman, Alana Russo, said Wednesday that Matthews was out sick and not available for comment.

Clinton loyalists were unhappy with Matthews' coverage of the race for the Democratic nomination and what they see as a pattern of demeaning behavior to women.

In 2007, Matthews was talking on the air with Erin Burnett, a CNBC business news anchor, when he asked her to lean into the camera. "Come in closer -- really close," he told a flustered Burnett. He then laughed and said: "Just kidding. You look great. . . . You're a knockout."

In January, Matthews apologized on the air for a comment he had made about Clinton's political achievements. He said she owed her Senate seat and presidential bid to the fact that her husband had "messed around."

Siskind would not reveal what tactics the group would use to get Matthews off the air. She likened the organization to the Navy Seals, saying their methods would be covert.

--

Peter Nicholas

Clinton supporters debate merits of roll call vote

By Kathy Kiely, USA TODAY

It may be Barack Obama's party, but that may not prevent an emotional show of support for former rival Hillary Rodham Clinton at the Democratic National Convention later this month.

Aides to Obama, who will formally accept the Democratic nomination in Denver on Aug. 28, are girding for the possibility that Clinton's backers will force a roll call vote that would demonstrate the extent of support for the New York senator. More...

"There's no perfect solution for anybody," Steve Hildebrand, Obama's deputy campaign manager, told USA TODAY this week. But he expressed confidence Democrats will pull together no matter what the outcome. "I think we will end up being just fine roll call or no roll call."

DEMOCRATS: Read rules for '08 convention (pdf file)

Clinton picked up about 18 million votes and nearly 1,900 delegates in her primary battle against Obama. He got more than 2,250 delegates — more than necessary to clinch. She conceded to the Illinois senator June 7 and threw her support behind him, but hasn't ruled out lending her name to an effort that some ardent supporters are mounting to put her name in nomination at the four-day convention that begins Aug. 25.

At a California fundraiser last month, Clinton suggested that a roll call would be "a catharsis" for her supporters. "I happen to believe that we will come out stronger if people feel their voices were heard and their views were respected," she told a group of Democrats in Los Altos Hills.

"I think it would be excellent," said Lorraine Hariton, who hosted the gathering.

Others are opposed. "I think it would be very divisive," said Santa Clara County Assessor Larry Stone, who also attended the fundraiser. Stone, who said he backed Clinton in the primaries, argued that a convention tally of her support would only help the cause of the presumptive Republican nominee. "John McCain would love it," he said.

At issue is whether a floor vote on the nomination would help heal or further open wounds left by a bruising primary campaign between two history-making candidates. Obama is the first African American to win a major party nomination for the presidency; Clinton is the first woman to have vied seriously for the same post.

To recognize Clinton's accomplishment, convention organizers have given her a prime-time slot to address the convention on Aug. 26 — 88 years after the 19th Amendment took effect and gave women the right to vote.

Some of Clinton's supporters are circulating a petition to put her name in nomination. Democratic Party rules require the signatures of 300 delegates, with no more than 50 coming from a single state. The rules also require that the candidate sign the petition. Whether Clinton will do so is now under negotiation with Obama.

"She's in a dicey position," Hildebrand said. "She's got a lot of people who worked incredibly hard for her, who dedicated their lives to her mission, her candidacy and who are very passionate about this."

One of those supporters is Allida Black, a George Washington University historian who said she cashed in her retirement savings to finance travel to 14 states for Clinton. Black, a Clinton delegate from Virginia, is helping circulate the nominating petition.

"This is not a spite Obama effort," she said. "This is for Hillary to get the respect her campaign merits."

Another Clinton delegate, Rosina Rubin of New York, argued that in acknowledging Clinton's supporters, the Democratic convention would also be paying tribute to an important constituency. "Her achievement this year is really a culmination of everything women in politics have done in this country since before we had the right to vote," Rubin said.

Rove: Colorado, Mi, Ohio, and & Virginia Key States

I See Four Key Battleground States
By KARL ROVE
August 14, 2008; Page A11

Presidential campaigns ultimately come down to who can win 270 Electoral College votes. With most states favoring one candidate or the other, this year's contest could come down to a few battleground states.

Based on visits this past week with party leaders and old pros, it's clear that Barack Obama will focus on Colorado and Virginia. Both have large concentrations of white, college-educated voters with whom Mr. Obama is popular. And both have seen Democrats surge recently.

Of the two, Mr. Obama is best positioned to pick up Colorado's nine electoral votes. Denver hosts the Democratic convention at the end of this month. And a quartet of local millionaires (mini-George Soroses) have spent lavishly to boost Democrats. They have succeeded at shrinking the Republican advantage among registered voters. The GOP now has just 68,507 more voters on the rolls in Colorado than Democrats, down from a 176,572 edge four years ago. More...

Democrats win the state when they hold down GOP margins in rural districts, and appeal to swing women voters in Larimer County and the Denver suburbs. Mr. Obama lacks rural credentials, but he might make inroads in the suburbs.

Sen. McCain's independence will help him in Colorado. Also, there will be two anti-union initiatives on the ballot this fall that could energize conservatives. But he needs to run up votes in the GOP strongholds of El Paso (Colorado Springs), Douglas (south of Denver), Weld (Eastern Plains) and Mesa (Western Slope) counties, while appealing to Democratic and independent Hispanics and Catholics.

The last time Virginia (13 electoral votes) went for a Democratic presidential candidate was 1964. In 2004, the GOP's margin was eight points. That makes Virginia an uphill climb for Mr. Obama, but not out of reach. He's focused on increasing African-American voters in Hampton Roads (in the southeastern corner of the state), Richmond and Petersburg, and on deepening his strength in Northern Virginia, where Fairfax was one of only 60 counties in America to flip from Republican in '00 to Democrat in '04.

But Mr. McCain's maverick image allows him to compete in Northern Virginia, where he's buying expensive D.C. TV ads. He also needs to do well in rural Virginia and the Richmond suburbs. Hampton Roads is home to nearly twice as many veterans as the national average, so Mr. McCain should be able to do well there.

If Mr. McCain lost Colorado and Virginia, he would likely have 264 electoral votes (assuming he carried the other states President Bush won in 2004). To win, he would have to pick up a state Democrats are counting on winning, such as Michigan.

With 17 electoral votes, Michigan is an attractive target. But it is also a complicated state. The Democratic machine is in near meltdown in Detroit, where the city's mayor is fighting felony charges stemming from an alleged cover-up of a sex scandal (he recently spent a night in jail). The party is also hurt by adverse reactions to Democratic Gov. Jennifer Granholm's $1.5 billion tax increase last year, which dampened economic growth.

Mr. McCain needs Reagan Democrats and independents in eastern Michigan. These working class, culturally conservative, mostly Catholic voters are how the GOP elected an attorney general, a secretary of state and a state Senate majority. These voters care about jobs and know manufacturing runs on affordable energy. They will respond to Mr. McCain's call for domestic drilling and expanded nuclear power.

Mr. McCain also needs to focus on "soft" Republicans, particularly in the Detroit suburbs. His renegade reputation will help him with socially liberal independents and Republicans. But Mr. Obama's change message will help him in western Michigan where the socially conscious, historically Republican Dutch voters have antiwar tendencies.

Then there is Ohio. Ground zero in '04, its 20 electoral votes will be hotly contested again this year. No Republican has won the White House without winning the Buckeye State.

How can Mr. McCain take Ohio? He can appeal to swing voters in the northeastern part of the state. Cuyahoga, Summit and Lucas counties and the Mahoning Valley are full of culturally conservative, working-class voters. In addition, Mr. Obama was wiped out in the primary among the blue-collar Reagan Democrats of southeastern Ohio. Outside of the university town of Athens, he won less than 30% of the vote in southeastern Ohio. This Appalachian region remains bad turf for him.

Mr. McCain will need to do well with suburban independents in the counties surrounding Columbus to balance heavy African-American turnout. He will also need to run strong in the Cincinnati suburbs in the southwest, and in rural and small-town counties.

Other states will see serious competition, including Florida, Pennsylvania, Nevada, New Hampshire, Missouri and Wisconsin. But Colorado, Virginia, Michigan and Ohio are likely to be the center of the action. To win, Mr. Obama needs to pick up 18 electoral votes more than John Kerry received, meaning Mr. Obama must carry Colorado or Virginia and add another small state to his column. If Mr. McCain carries Michigan as well as Ohio, it would make Mr. Obama's Electoral College math very difficult. And if Mr. McCain can limit GOP losses to one or two small states from those won by the GOP in 2004, he'll be America's 44th president.

Mr. Rove is a former senior adviser and deputy chief of staff to President George W. Bush.

See all of today's editorials and op-eds, plus video commentary, on Opinion Journal.

Wednesday, August 13, 2008

Jerome Corsi, Author of Bestseller "The Obama Nation" on "Hannity & Colmes"

The "Obama Nation" (an anti-Obama book) is #1 Best Seller on the New York Times. Click HERE to read the interview. Corsi hopes to use the book to repeat the 2004 "Anti-Kerry Feat".

NEWEST PEW POLL: Presidential Race Draws Statistically Even


28% of Hillary Supporters still do not support Obama!!
(that could make or break a victory in November...)

McCain strengthens support among GOP Base and White Working Class


With less than two weeks to go before the start of the presidential nominating conventions, Barack Obama's lead over John McCain has disappeared. Pew's latest survey finds 46% of registered voters saying they favor or lean to the putative Democratic candidate, while 43% back his likely Republican rival. In late June, Obama held a comfortable 48%-to-40% margin over McCain, which narrowed in mid-July to 47% to 42%.

Two factors appear to be at play in shifting voter sentiment. First, McCain is garnering more support from his base - including Republicans and white evangelical Protestants - than he was in June, and he also has steadily gained backing from white working class voters over this period. Secondly and more generally, the Arizona senator has made gains on his leadership image. An even greater percentage of voters than in June now see McCain as the candidate who would use the best judgment in a crisis, and an increasing percentage see him as the candidate who can get things done. More...

Conversely, Obama has made little progress in increasing his support among core Democrats since June - currently 83% favor him compared with 87% of Republicans who back McCain. The likely Democratic nominee is still getting relatively modest support from Hillary Clinton's former supporters: 72% of them support Obama, compared with the 88% support level that McCain receives from backers of his formal GOP rivals. Obama's strong points with voters are in being seen as the candidate with new ideas and as someone who connects well with ordinary people.

The latest national survey by the Pew Research Center for the People & the Press, was conducted by telephone - both landline phones and cell phones - from July 31-August 10 among 2,414 registered voters. It finds that race, gender and age are strong drivers of support in a closely divided electorate. Almost nine-in-ten African American voters (88%) back Obama, while McCain leads 51% to 39% among whites. Since June, McCain has gained support among men who now favor him by a 49%-to-41% margin. In contrast, women favor Obama by a roughly comparable margin of 51% to 38%. The Democratic candidate holds a 24 percentage-point lead over his rival among voters younger than age 30, whereas voters over age 50 are more evenly split (47% McCain, 42% Obama).

While Sen. McCain is attracting more support from Republicans than Sen. Obama is from Democrats, McCain's backers continue to be less enthusiastic about him than are Obama supporters about their candidate. Fewer than half of McCain's backers (39%) describe themselves as strong supporters of the Arizona senator, compared with 58% of Obama backers who say they support Obama strongly. The McCain supporters who back him "only moderately" are most troubled by his positions on economic issues, while Obama's soft supporters are most troubled by his personal abilities and experience.

As was the case in Pew's June and July surveys, one in three voters (33%) can be categorized as swing voters - of this group 12% lean to Obama. 11% lean to McCain and 10% are undecided.

For more Charts, graphs, and analysis click HERE.


IF you go to Denver - BE CAREFUL!!

CDS$ News goes Inside Warehouse Holding Cell in Denver

CBS4 News has learned if mass arrests happen at the Democratic Convention, those taken into custody will be jailed in a warehouse owned by the City of Denver. Investigator Rick Sallinger discovered the location and managed to get inside for a look. Denver Police hoped to keep it a secret - it ain't pretty. Click HERE to watch the video...

Obama Campaign Chooses Anti-Abortion Casey To Speak Tuesday At Convention

They're doing this on purpose right? Tuesday, August 26th is Women's Equality Day.

"WASHINGTON (AP) — Sen. Bob Casey of Pennsylvania, a Democrat who opposes abortion rights, will be a featured speaker at the party's national convention, officials said Wednesday.

Casey was set to speak during the convention's session Tuesday night, his office said. He is the son of the late Pennsylvania Gov. Robert P. Casey, who was not given a marquee speaking spot at the 1992 convention because of his anti-abortion views. More...

Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obama supports abortion rights. Casey endorsed Obama over Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton, also an abortion-rights supporter, and campaigned with Obama throughout Pennsylvania. Clinton trounced Obama in the primary but not by a big enough margin to thwart his bid for the nomination.

Casey said in a statement that he was honored to have the opportunity to speak. Neither he nor the Obama campaign indicated what would be the topic of his speech.

"Our country faces very grave economic, military and foreign policy challenges and many Americans of all political parties will vote for a change in November. Barack Obama is the only candidate who offers that change of direction we need," Casey said.

The proposed Democratic platform to be voted on by delegates has a plank for abortion rights that is stronger than usual. "The Democratic Party strongly and unequivocally supports Roe v. Wade and a woman's right to choose a safe and legal abortion, regardless of ability to pay, and we oppose any and all efforts to weaken or undermine that right," it says.

In the past the plank has said abortion should be safe, legal and "rare." This year the party also pledges to ensure access to adoption programs, prenatal and postnatal care and income support programs for expectant mothers who need the help."



"What is Women’s Equality Day?

At the behest of Rep. Bella Abzug (D-NY), in 1971 the U.S. Congress designated August 26 as “Women’s Equality Day.”

The date was selected to commemorate the 1920 passage of the 19th Amendment to the Constitution, granting women the right to vote. This was the culmination of a massive, peaceful civil rights movement by women that had its formal beginnings in 1848 at the world’s first women’s rights convention, in Seneca Falls, New York.

The observance of Women’s Equality Day not only commemorates the passage of the 19th Amendment, but also calls attention to women’s continuing efforts toward full equality. Workplaces, libraries, organizations, and public facilities now participate with Women’s Equality Day programs, displays, video showings, or other activities.

Joint Resolution of Congress, 1971
Designating August 26 of each year as Women’s Equality Day

WHEREAS, the women of the United States have been treated as second-class citizens and have not been entitled the full rights and privileges, public or private, legal or institutional, which are available to male citizens of the United States; and
WHEREAS, the women of the United States have united to assure that these rights and privileges are available to all citizens equally regardless of sex; and

WHEREAS, the women of the United States have designated August 26, the anniversary date of the passage of the Nineteenth Amendment, as symbol of the continued fight for equal rights: and

WHEREAS, the women of United States are to be commended and supported in their organizations and activities,

NOW, THEREFORE, BE IT RESOLVED, the Senate and House of Representatives of the United States of America in Congress assembled, that August 26th of each year is designated as Women’s Equality Day, and the President is authorized and requested to issue a proclamation annually in commemoration of that day in 1920, on which the women of America were first given the right to vote, and that day in 1970, on which a nationwide demonstration for women’s rights took place."

Last Meetup Before Convention. Info about Local Actions/Events!

Announcing a new Meetup for 18 Million Voices Washington State!

What: Last Meetup Before Convention. Info about Local Actions/Events!

When: August 21, 2008 7:00 PM

Where: Click HERE to find out!

Meetup Description: Hi All,
Well Denver is here at last! This will be our last meetup until after the convention. We have a fun/easy local action planned, and ask that if you can make it PLEASE do. We will be handing out supplies/info for our local action/event.

I want to thank all of you for helping make this a reality. For those of you staying behind in Seattle We will be taking you with us in Spirit. Together we can.

Laura

Reminder - NO SPEND DAY August 16TH!

The date is Saturday 8/16 and all that it asks is that you keep your
funds in your accounts, money in your pockets and a day of no
commercial TV or radio, no commercial media at all....for 24
hours.... Please join us. Click HERE for more information!

Analysis of how Pelosi used her PAC and her influence to purchase superdelegates for Obama.


Super Delegates - Bought and Paid for!

"As Americans sat glued to their television sets watching the most hotly contested presidential primary in American history, pundits counted pledged delegates won in caucuses and primaries and discussed the highly prized superdelegates’ endorsements. Eventually it would be these superdelegates, Democratic officials, governors, and members of congress, who would determine the nominee, since neither contestant won enough pledged delegates in the 52 primary contests. What the pundits forgot to tell the American public was that these superdelegates were doing some counting of their own. They weren’t counting how many of their constituents had voted for Senator Clinton or Senator Obama, but rather how much money was being put into their war chests by the Obama campaign and the Democratic hierarchy. This money, moved from one candidate to another via PAC’s, would determine their endorsements and ultimately the nomination. More...

Since 1987, Nancy Pelosi has represented California’s eighth district-- including most of San Francisco. An Italian American, Pelosi was raised on politics. Her father was a Congressman from Maryland and the Mayor of Baltimore. Pelosi was elected as Democratic Speaker of the House 2002. Pelosi shattered the glass ceiling in the House of Representatives when she was elected the first female speaker in 2007. A shrewd politician, Madame Speaker exercises a lot of influence over the members of congress. She determines Committee assignments and in conjunction with the DNC and Howard Dean decides how much money and support the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee gives to each member of congress in their bid for re-election.

In addition, Pelosi also contributes money directly to the congressional campaigns of certain candidates through her Political Action Committee “PAC to the FUTURE.” Her PAC receives money from other PAC’s such as Service Employees International Union $10,000, American Bankers Assn $10,000, Sheet Metal Workers Union $10,000, International Association of Fire Fighters, $10,000, and Goldman Sachs 10,000. It also receives money from individuals. In the 2008 election cycle, the Center for Responsive Politics (www.opensecrets.org) reports that Nancy Pelosi’s PAC received 585,400 and contributed more than $445,000 of this to 59 congressional candidates. PAC to the FUTURE gave money to 38 incumbents and 21 challengers. Of the 435 members in the house, Pelosi gave money to 8.5% of them. Of the members who received money from Pelosi, 71% were men; only 29% were women. Only eleven percent of the female members of congress received support from Pelosi’s PAC. It’s disappointing that a female speaker did not symbolically make some contribution to all Democratic women in the house.

But even more important than the gender implications of Pelosi’s behavior was her impact on the Presidential election. Publically Madame Speaker did not endorse either Obama or Clinton in the Democratic Primary, but she was anything but neutral. Pelosi gave money to the campaigns of thirty-eight members of congress, twenty-eight of these endorsed Obama; ten endorsed Clinton. Pelosi contributed to the campaigns of Obama endorsers almost three to one. Pelosi not only gave to a greater number of Obama supporters, she collectively gave them more money. Pelosi gave 250,000 to the campaigns of superdelegates that endorsed Obama and only 80,000 to the campaigns of superdelegates that endorsed Clinton. Money talks and Pelosi and her PAC spoke volumes….in shorthand. She may not have publicly endorsed a candidate, but the members of the House of Representatives knew she supported Obama.

Of the thirty-eight Members of Congress Pelosi gave money to, sixteen went against the grain for Obama. Their state voted for Hillary, their district voted for Hillary, yet they endorsed Obama. Why? Follow the money.

JOHN ALDER NJ $2500 from PELOSI ALDER endorses OBAMA

JASON ALTMIRE PA $10k FROM PELOSI ALTMIRE endorses OBAMA

ANDRE CARSON IN $10k FROM PELOSI CARSON endorses OBAMA

JOE DONNELLY IN $10k FROM PELOSI DONNNELLY endorses OBAMA

GABRIELLE GIFFORDS AZ $10k FROM PELOSI GIFFORDS endorses OBAMA

BARON HILL IN $10k FROM PELOSI HILL endorses OBAMA

RON KLEIN FL $10k FROM PELOSI KLEIN endorses OBAMA

NICK LAMPSON TX $7500 FROM PELOSI LAMPSON endorses OBAMA

TIM MAHONEY FL $10k FROM PELOSI MAHONEY endorses OBAMA

JERRY MCNERNEY CA $10 FROM PELOSI MCNERNEY endorses OBAMA

HARRY MITCHELL AZ $10k FROM PELOSI MITCHELL endorses OBAMA

PATRICK MURPHY PA 10k FROM PELOSI MURPHY endorses OBAMA

JOE SESTAK PA $10k FROM PELOSI SESTAK endorses OBAMA

CAROL SHEA PORTER NH $10k FROM PELOSI SHEA PORTER endorses OBAMA

ZACHARY SPACE OH $10k FROM PELOSI SPACE endorses OBAMA

NIKI TSONGAS MA $10k FROM PELOSI TSONGAS endorses OBAMA

By endorsing Obama, all of these Members of Congress went against the will of their constituents, twice, at the state level and at the district level. Only two members who received money from Pelosi’s PAC went against the grain and endorsed Hillary. Is sixteen against the grain for Hillary and two against the grain for Obama a coincidence? Pelosi’s contributions to the campaigns of state representatives followed a similar pattern. Sixty-three percent of the state representatives to whom Pelosi gave money, endorsed Obama in a state won by Clinton.

Ten thousand dollars, PAC to the FUTURE’s typical contribution, doesn’t seem like a lot of money but besides getting money from PAC TO THE FUTURE, most of these members got contributions from other PACs. These contributions were most likely orchestrated by Pelosi and company since the overlap is too startling. Congressman James Clyburn from South Carolina has BRIDGE PAC. BRIDGE PAC gave money to all but two of these same members of congress. Steny Hoyer from Maryland has AMERIPAC. AMERIPAC gave money to almost every single one of these same members of congress. Typical donations from both of these PAC’S were $10,000. And then there is the NATIONAL LEADERSHIP PAC and the NEW DEMOCRAT COALITION, and of course there is the HOPE FUND owned by Barack Obama. All of these PAC’s donated an average of $10,000 to most of their campaigns. These young representatives got a lot of pressure to endorse Obama no matter which way their district or state voted. The voices of their constituents were irrelevant.

It seems Obama was just posing as a Washington outsider. But in reality—all the real Washington insiders Pelosi, Dean, Kennedy, Clyburn, Hoyer, and Kerry were on his team all along. Pelosi’s Pac might be named PAC to the Future, but it took direct action to purposely undermine the first significant female candidate for the presidency in history. In so doing, she pushed women back decades. Call Pelosi’s office at 415-556-4862 and let her know how you feel. Let’s not just call her biased against women; let’s call her finished.

FIGHT FOR DEMOCRACY, BEFORE IT DISAPPEARS."

Clinton's convention role nearly settled

Supporters want recognition
(Contact)
Wednesday, August 13, 2008


The careful negotiations between Sen. Barack Obama's campaign and his one-time rival about her role at the Democratic National Convention are winding to a close, while Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton's supporters demand she be formally recognized. More...

Mrs. Clinton, who has long championed her 18 million votes, aims to have her strong primary season showing honored at Mr. Obama's nominating convention in some way. What is yet to be determined is whether her name will be placed into a roll call vote, and whether she will accept the symbolic gesture, publicly release her convention delegates and urge them to unanimously back Mr. Obama.

There's plenty of precedent, as presidential candidates from Sen. Edward M. Kennedy to Rep. Dennis J. Kucinich have had their names offered to the delegates for a roll call vote at previous conventions.
An Obama spokesman said the team has not offered any final schedule of events and activity for the nominating convention to take place Aug. 25-28 in Denver.

"I wouldn't call them negotiations, I would say we are working cooperatively with Senator Clinton and her staff," said Obama spokesman Bill Burton. "Things are going remarkably well and we're looking forward to the convention and looking ahead."

Still, it's a sensitive subject, as angry Clinton supporters say they still believe she could capture the nomination if speeches are made on her behalf to the convention delegates about why she is more electable. Several groups are demanding the former first lady's name be placed into nomination, and are running newspaper ads to pressure Democratic officials. They also plan Denver protests.

"A facade of unity is not unity," Clinton supporter Marc Rubin wrote on a blog for the Denver Group, which is running the ads.

"For the Democrats to have any chance at the White House this November the DNC should heed our message and its own rules and hold an authentic nominating convention with Senator Clinton agreeing to and having her name placed in nomination," he wrote.

There is no way to officially count people with similar sentiment, but groups pushing this message claim their numbers are vast: "We are a coalition of millions with one thing in common: NObama."


Aides stressed the negotiations will be resolved so both Mrs. Clinton and Mr. Obama are comfortable. A Clinton aide said she was honored to be a featured speaker the second night of the convention, and added the New York senator would have a full schedule of meetings along with a luncheon on the convention's third day with the women's political action committee EMILY's List.


The Clinton convention speech will be "forward-looking," with a message to the delegates in Denver and to the nation, aides said.


But the Wednesday activities remain unclear. Former President Bill Clinton will speak at some point that evening, but the keynote speaker will be the vice presidential nominee. Traditionally a roll call vote of the states and territories will follow and the presumptive nominee will formally be nominated by the delegates.


But several times in recent history - with candidates who were much further in the delegate count than Mrs. Clinton as she finished the race - roll call votes were held.


As the primary battle raged on, Mrs. Clinton had hundreds of commitments from Democratic members of Congress and Democratic Party activists known as superdelegates to cast their votes for her, but she has since been urging them to cast their votes for her one-time rival.


A Clinton spokeswoman noted her boss will be campaigning for Mr. Obama in Florida next week, and said she is emphatically making the case the Illinois senator must win in November.


"Senator Clinton understands that there are supporters that remain passionate, but she has repeatedly urged her supporters to vote for Senator Obama," said Clinton spokeswoman Kathleen Strand. "Because in order for there to be progress on the issues she's fought for, such as ending the war in Iraq and health care, we need a Democrat in the White House. She's going to do everything to make sure that Democrat is Barack Obama."

And according to CNN -- If Sen. Hillary Clinton's name is placed in nomination in Denver, Colorado, this year, it wouldn't be the first time that a candidate was beaten in the primaries and still formally contested the nomination at the convention.

Sen. Hillary Clinton can win votes from delegates at the convention even if her name isn't placed in nomination.

Sen. Hillary Clinton can win votes from delegates at the convention even if her name isn't placed in nomination.

Clinton can still win votes from delegates at the Democratic National Convention even if her name is not placed in nomination. Delegates are free to vote for anyone they want to at the convention.

At past conventions, delegates have even been known to vote for fictional characters (Archie Bunker) and dead people (George Orwell).

It's likely that Clinton will pick up some votes unless Sen. Barack Obama is nominated by acclamation.

Lieberman suggests Obama has not always 'put country first'

From CNN Political Producer Peter Hamby
Lieberman campaigned with McCain Tuesday.

YORK, Pennsylvania (CNN) — John McCain used one of his largest and most ambitious town halls to date to brandish a pair of surrogates, Joe Lieberman and Tom Ridge, who may help him shore up support among independents in this fall battleground.

The Tuesday stop began with some campaign stunt work that turned the typically-mellow format into a lively Pennsylvania event that resembled one of the noisy rallies that characterized the Democratic primary. More...

The audience on hand — estimated by the campaign as north of 3,000 people — far exceeded the size of a standard McCain event. And the audience, who had been warmed up by a pair of television screens broadcasting a biographical film about the candidate, rose to their feet when McCain, Lieberman and Ridge arrived.

The trio entered the York Expo Center in the Straight Talk Express, which motored into the indoor venue under a massive American flag that was hoisted up to reveal the campaign bus, all while the theme from “Rocky” blared.

Lieberman then marshaled the audience by seeming to question Obama’s patriotism and commitment to bipartisanship in Washington.

"In my opinion, the choice could not be more clear, between one candidate John McCain who's had experience, been tested in war and tried in peace. Another candidate who has not,” Lieberman said to applause. “Between one candidate, John McCain who's always put the country first, worked across party lines to get things done, and one candidate who has not.”

For his part, McCain plugged the moderate records Lieberman and Ridge, and praised their commitment to keeping the country safe.

Though he made a strong push to attract independents in his town hall performance, demanding that congress work together to solve the country’s energy crisis, the GOP nominee for the first time acknowledged he faces a deficit of support among younger voters.

Responding to a former Hillary Clinton supporter who asked what McCain will do for younger Americans, McCain said: “I'll give you straight talk. I need to do a better job with young voters in America.”

The Obama Iraq Documentary: Whatever the Politics Demand

Click HERE to watch.

The questions that hang over Barack Obama

By Irwin Stelzer
Last Updated: 12:01am BST 13/08/2008

Pundits here are struggling to understand one thing about the presidential elections. They know that President Bush is massively unpopular.

They know that the vast majority of Americans think the country is on the wrong track, engaged in an unpopular war, and headed towards recession.

They know that polls of "generic" preferences show that voters, by a very substantial majority, say they prefer Democrats to the Republicans.

And they know that Barack Obama's opulently funded campaign has been a study in precision and efficiency, while John McCain has scrambled for funds, stumbled on television, and been forced once again to reorganise his staff.

So why isn't Obama running so far ahead that the election is a mere formality? Yes, the Illinois senator is behaving very presidentially - addressing massed Germans in Berlin, for a while having a faux presidential seal fronting his podium, moving confidently from one adoring audience to another. More...

But the polls suggest that the candidates are in a dead heat.

Some put this down to race. But race cuts both ways in this election.

Ignore the fact that only five per cent of Americans say they would not vote for a black presidential candidate. More important is the 19 per cent who say that most of the people they know - not including themselves, of course - would not vote for such a candidate.

On the other side of the ledger is the massive increase in registration and participation of black and pro-Obama Hispanic voters, white voters eager to demonstrate their lack of prejudice by voting for a black candidate, and folks who believe that the mere fact that Obama is black means that the world will think better of America if its electorate relocates Obama from the Senate to the Oval Office.

In sum, it is difficult to tell just how much race might be affecting the polls, or would affect them if respondents felt unembarrassed to tell the truth, and in which direction.

Other equally knowledgeable observers put Obama's failure to run away with the election down to his exotic background.

Long-time Democratic strategist Mark Penn, in an e-mail he thought was private but fell into the hands of The Atlantic's Joshua Green, said of Obama: "His roots to basic American values and culture are at best limited." That troubles Americans, who contrast Obama with the straight-talking war hero John McCain.

But that is not all. Obama has always been something of an aloof loner. In the Illinois state senate, he remained uncommitted on most issues.

At the University of Chicago Law School, he did not participate in faculty discussions about the school's future. In the US Senate, he seems to have made few close friends, at least until the vice-presidency became within his gift. He is, says NYT columnist David Brooks, a "sojourner… Obama lives apart… He absorbed things from those diverse places [in which he lived and worked], but was not fully of them."

As a result, voters "find him hard to place". He carries "cool" to the point of aloofness. He is seen more as a Chablis-sipping intellectual than someone Joe Sixpack would want to go bowling with.

Combine his initial refusal to wear an American-flag lapel pin, pictures of Obama declining to salute the flag and his failure to visit injured soldiers at their Berlin hospital, with his unusual background, and it is not difficult to understand why voters are nervous at the prospect of this elegant, eloquent politician becoming commander-in-chief of the world's only superpower.

Less fun to talk about, but equally important, are questions of policy. Obama won the nomination in part because he opposed Iraq from the start, and because he promised that his first act as president would be to order his generals to withdraw all troops within 16 months.

Well, not all troops: some would remain to train Iraqis and cope with any upsurge of terrorists attacks. And not necessarily in 16 months.

He said he would sit down with Iran's Mahmoud Ahmadinejad with no preconditions. Well, no preconditions, but with a lot of advance preparation.

He promised to oppose all drilling for oil offshore. Well, not all drilling, only environmentally unacceptable drilling, a retreat made necessary by the fact that the majority of Americans, groaning under the burden of $4 petrol, are demanding that the government allow rapid development of domestic oil reserves.

Perhaps most important, Obama presented himself as a post-racial candidate, and then played the race card, by accusing McCain of trying to frighten voters by pointing out that Obama does not look like the presidents on their currency. Which McCain would never do and did not do.

McCain's campaign manager, Rick Davis, summed up the situation last Sunday. "The mood of the country is very sour… People don't like the [Republican] Party… If someone had told me a year ago … we could wind up dead-even with the Democratic nominee in this kind of political environment just before our convention, that would have been fantastic to me."

But Davis knows that his candidate has a long way to go. McCain's economic message has been incoherent.

He is for free markets, but attacks oil company profits as obscene. He wants to get Americans to use less petrol, but proposed to lower petrol taxes - and encourage consumption - during the driving season. He says he is against all tax increases, but then says he is willing to consider raising payroll taxes.

On Monday, Obama, speaking from his holiday retreat in Hawaii, managed to come up with a tougher reaction to the Russian invasion of Georgia than did McCain. Eager to show that he is tough enough to be commander-in-chief, Obama suggested that Russia's application for membership in the World Trade Organisation be turned down, while McCain contented himself with head-shaking disapproval.

Soon the real campaign will start; both parties will have their conventions. Obama will have 10 weeks to persuade voters he is one of them, and McCain to convince them that a conservative Republican can feel their economic pain. There is all to play for: in 2000, more than 60 per cent of Americans made up their minds at or after the conventions.

Obama's problem with white, male voters

By David Paul Kuhn | The Boston Globe

THE MOST remarkable fact of the 2008 presidential election is that it remains a close race. Democrats have not known such favorable political terrain since 1932, yet what should be a blowout is looking like a blanket finish.

The fundamental reason is white men. Like Al Gore in the summer of 2000, Barack Obama is roughly splitting white women. But only 34 to 37 percent of white men support Obama, according to the Gallup Poll's latest weekly index of 6,000 voters. More...

In fairness to Obama, he inherited the problem. Not since 1976, when Democrats last achieved a majority, has a Democrat won more than 38 of every 100 white, male voters. That Obama is nearly at par with Democrats' poor performance is hardly good.

Obama remains narrowly ahead because of black, Hispanic, and youth support. Those strengths may prove brittle. Large black populations are mostly in states Obama will surely win, across the Northeast, and states he will surely lose, the Deep South. Hispanics are a nonfactor in Heartland swing states like Ohio. Young voters are notoriously unreliable.

On Election Day, high youth and black turnout will matter in Ohio, Pennsylvania, Florida, and Nevada. But as Hillary Clinton demonstrated, Obama's strengths may not matter enough.

Obama's one clear gain with white men, over Gore and John Kerry, is with those under age 30. But those gains are undercut by a poor showing with older white men, according to Pew Research Center summer polling. The same effect, though more mild, is also true for white women.

Pundits will be tempted to blame racism. Yet Colin Powell would have won white men and likely defeated Bill Clinton in 1996. Liberals have long placed white guys atop their ticket. Look where that got them. Democrats have won three of the past 10 presidential elections.

Many Democrats explain their failures in a respect that reaffirms their self image; the good fight for black equality caused a racially motivated "Southern flip." In the Deep South, that was true. But nationally, political white flight occurred in the South and the North. It also reached its crescendo with Ronald Reagan's election - not during the peak of civil rights debates.

This impulse to cite the color of the issue as the issue was recently applied to Obama's Appalachia difficulty. Race did matter, and will matter. But if Obama were white, would we have expected him to win rural voters? Like Gary Hart or Paul Tsongas, Obama was not Appalachia's kind of Democrat.

That weakness is neither inalterable nor politically fatal. His unique personal attributes may, amid the near implosion of the Republican Party, galvanize enough minorities and young voters to squeeze out a win. But a majority coalition, that does not make.

In search of that coalition liberal analysts tend to subscribe to the "Emerging Democratic Majority," a plan to wait out demographic shifts - more Hispanics, more young voters, more educated whites. In short: "Why should I change, let America." That strategy failed George McGovern. Give it a couple more decades. The portion of white, male voters remains about five times the size of all Hispanic voters. And a college education has not led more white men to vote Democratic.

Latinos are increasingly vital to Democratic ambitions in Florida and key western states. Yet electoral math ultimately concerns the sum. Minority groups can more easily tip vital states for Obama if aided by gains with far larger blocs of the electorate, none more than white men.

In the end new majorities do not merely "emerge," even for Richard Nixon. It takes proactive efforts. For Democrats, the potential reward is massive.

White men make up the largest portion of independents. More than one in three voters who will choose the next president remains white and male. And McCain's support is soft with these men, compared to George W. Bush's bids.

Yet for too long, some progressives have viewed seeking these men as antithetical to liberalism. Rebutting that intellectual vice would truly change Democratic politics. It would also expand the electoral map. Therefore, whether he knows it or not, Obama has tied the audacity of his promise to the white men his party has lost.

David Paul Kuhn, a senior political writer with Politico.com, is author of "The Neglected Voter: White Men and the Democratic Dilemma."

RUSH: We Could See a McCain Landslide


BEGIN TRANSCRIPT

RUSH: See, the liberals have to blame this Russian attack on Georgia on Bush, and then, by association, McCain, otherwise Obama has no chance. I don't think he has much of a chance, and I think the dirty little secret is that McCain could win this in a landslide. I actually do. More...I think there is so much huff and puffery here about Obama, and the bloom has long ago gone off that rose. It happened during the Democrat primaries. Thomas Sowell has a great column. He once attended a course taught by John Kenneth Galbraith, the noted liberal economist, and he came in and did his first lecture to the class, and it was so good they all stood up and applauded, but every other lecture was just more and more generalities on the first lecture, and as the course went on, the class kept dwindling in size and finally people stopped showing up because there was no substance. That's exactly what's happened to Obama. His first speech, his first series of appearances: "Oh, man, new, unique, messiah, change, hope, future." But now there's no substance. You can revive the old Fritz Mondale question of Gary Hart(pence), "Where's the beef?" And it's happening, folks. I'm telling you, it's happening. There are all kinds of doubts throughout the Democrat Party about this guy, 143 days in the Senate, for crying out loud. He's a neighborhood activist; he's a street activist that they have nominated. By the way, ladies and gentlemen, the Georgian Security Council today says it has filed a lawsuit in the International Court of Justice for alleged ethnic cleansing against Russia. Well, there you go. Right alongside the House Democrats' suit of OPEC for selling us oil in the first place. Man, oh, man, the libs get exactly what they want here, take every one of these things to court?

BREAK TRANSCRIPT

RUSH: We go to Aston, Pennsylvania. This is David. You're next on the Rush Limbaugh program. Hi.

CALLER: (silence)

RUSH: (drumming fingers) Dee-doo-bee-doo-bee-doo. David in Aston, Pennsylvania, are you there?

CALLER: Yes, Rush, how are you?

RUSH: Fine, sir. Thank you very much.

CALLER: Good. Thank you very much. Listen, this kind of has to do with Obama and the Georgian conflict and all these things. My question was, if we were on his energy plan of we're not allowed to drill for oil, we can't do anything at all, how would we ever wage a military campaign against Russia? Would we be having like destroyers running on sunflower oil?

RUSH: Let me see --

CALLER: How can we do that?

RUSH: You miss the point. We wouldn't need to wage military campaigns because with Obama there wouldn't be any more.

CALLER: Oh!

RUSH: He would talk everybody out of them.

CALLER: Of course.

RUSH: Like according to Tim Kaine, the governor of Virginia, Obama is the one who got the ceasefire in Georgia and South Ossetia because he asked the Russians to stop it, and Tim Kaine said he's happy that the Russians listened to Obama, so... I mean, that's what the Obama camp is saying.

CALLER: Do you understand where I'm coming from? I mean, how can he possibly think this?

RUSH: It's called the audacity --

CALLER: I have no idea what he's talking about.

RUSH: It's called the audacity of audacity. And what it is is Tim Kaine, who's trying to be selected as Obama's veep. He's just groveling.

CALLER: Humph.
RUSH: But, no, your rhetorical question is just right on the money. If we're not going to have our own independent sources of energy, how in the world are we going to maintain our status as a superpower? See, this is the problem. We've been in a jocular mood for much of the day today, but I'll tell you, I made a speech last night in Aspen, Colorado, which is why I was not here yesterday. I had to fly out there in the afternoon to get there in time for the speech, and I spoke about what we face here. There's a war going on in our country for the definition of our country and its structure in the future. On one side of the war is us, and we want to preserve this nation as it was founded.

On the other side are people like Obama and the leftists, who don't like this country as it was founded. They have a problem with too much individual liberty and freedom. They want bigger governments, higher taxes and more individual control over as much of the way people live as they can get. It's very, very serious, and our legislators on our side, we do not have any elected leadership in Washington. Our legislators do not understand that we're in a war. It's like this Gang of Ten thing that happened last week. The Republican senators in that deal do not understand how they just almost took away the one winning issue Senator McCain has and that we have over the Democrats, because they believe -- mistakenly so -- that what the American people want is for Republicans and Democrats to get along. As I told Senator Chambliss last week: That's not what the American people want.

What the Republicans, what conservatives in this country want is to mop the floor with Democrats! We are tired of accepting their premises and then going along with them to show that somehow we're not the bad guys. We are the good guys. We just don't have any elected leadership. So this is going to be a grassroots, a series of grassroots operations that build conservatism back. For example, this is not a big deal, but it was announced today that three Republicans have decided to endorse Obama. They are former Iowa Republican Congressman Jim Leach, former Rhode Island Republican Senator Lincoln Chafee, and lawyer and former White House intelligence advisor Rita Hauser. Now, Obama is out there, and the Democrats are saying, "Woo! Wow! We've got three Republicans endorsing Obama."

But come on, Jim Leach? Chafee stopped being a Republican a long time ago. Jim Leach was never a Republican, he was a moderate; and this Hauser babe, nobody ever heard of. The dirty little secret about this, the way I see it, is these are exactly the kind of moderate Republicans in Name Only that, McCain courted all these years. Jim Leach, Lincoln Chafee, Rita Hauser, why, they ought to be the first to be endorsing...McCain! That's the exact kind of Republican he's going after. And look, they've signed up with Obama. It's pathetic, but it's funny at the same time. So, we're in this war for what kind of country we're going to have and what kind of future people's children and grandchildren are going to have. We are a nation, a great nation, at great risk in a dangerous world, with a bunch of sophists who want control.

The Democrat Party has actually nominated a neighborhood activist, a street activist, as its presidential candidate who is clueless. The man doesn't think. He simply is able to reiterate what he had been taught, and if you look at the people he's hung around and the people who have taught him, it's all the Blame America Crowd that you find in academia. You've got Jeremiah Wright poisoning his mind. He's got his wife. He hangs around with his wife, and she's mad every day of the week, too; and then you've got this lunatic Father Pfleger, and then you've got this terrorist guy Bill Ayers. That's why these people's associations matter. It's why their character matters. If you look at who apparently has structured the Obama character, it's...

How else do you explain this guy telling a 7-year-old kid who wants to know why he wants to be president, because my country is "not what it once was"? Where in the hell...? When has it been better? When has it been worse? When's it been better, either way? He's just mouthing these things because that's what he thinks people want to hear, he thinks people are like him. This is the arrogance and the condescension. He thinks most people look at their country and find immediate fault with it. But I'm just telling you: All these people that did not vote for him in these late state primaries, these blue-collar white traditional Democrat voters? I'm going to tell you something, folks. They're not being interviewed on television; the Drive-Bys around talking about them.

But these people, I don't care if they're Republicans or Democrats or whatever. They do not want to see a rookie presidential candidate in Berlin or anywhere else in the world run down their country, especially a Democrat presidential candidate who ought to be thanking God that he is an American, that he lives in this country, and that it has provided him and his wife such a wonderful life and a great opportunity. He's running for president, for crying out loud, and he still sees fit to criticize this country! I'm just going to tell you: All of these blue-collar white Democrats, Pennsylvania, Ohio, you name it -- wherever Obama was unable to close this thing against Hillary -- they heard it, they saw it, and they don't like it. They may not tell a pollster that, but when they get a chance to vote, I guarantee you, it is not going to be for The Messiah.


END TRANSCRIPT


Read the Background Material...
• Real Clear Politics: Obama and the Galbraith Effect - Thomas Sowell

Defiant Clinton Women Refuse To Support Obama

High-Class Hillraisers Still Irate About Barack: ‘She Will Be Nominee’

 By Jason Horowitz | August 12, 2008

Lady Lynn Forester de Rothschild doesn’t look like a radical.

Surrounded by bike paths, ponds and the Atlantic Ocean in her Martha’s Vineyard farmhouse, not far from where Bill and Hillary Clinton usually summer, the lifelong Democrat and Clinton fund-raiser opened a laptop to her “Together4Us” Web site, an online petition that features Hillary Clinton looking luminous above a series of demands made of Barack Obama and the Democratic Party. More...

Ms. de Rothschild, 54, dressed in matching blue pants and sweater, blond hair tucked behind her ears, said she plans to send copies of the more than 6,000 signatures she has collected to superdelegates, Mr. Obama, his top officials, Howard Dean and officials at the Democratic National Committee, on Aug. 18—the Monday before the Democratic convention.

And she’ll be there, at the convention, to help press those demands, she said, especially including a dramatic overhaul of the nominating process by which Mr. Obama won the primary. She said she was well aware of Mrs. Clinton’s efforts to get Mr. Obama elected, as well as the efforts of the Obama campaign staffers, whom she said she liked, to appease Mrs. Clinton’s supporters. Despite it all, Ms. de Rothschild does not plan to vote for him.

“I think it’s difficult for him to fix it because of the judgments he’s made in the past and his lack of experience,” she said, adding that there was really nothing Mrs. Clinton could do about it. “If we are dissatisfied with Obama as a potential president, Hillary cannot be expected to change our minds.”

A phenomenon born from the debris of Mrs. Clinton’s presidential campaign has taken on a life of its own.

The mostly female collection of activists who continue to rally around the cause of a decommissioned White House bid can’t exactly be described as an organized movement. There are the wealthy donors who work within official party channels and talk calmly about reforming the party’s nominating process or protecting against gender bias in future elections. Their level of hostility toward the Obama campaign varies. And then there are the outright rejectionists: the raucous bloggers and founders of groups like PUMA (Party Unity My Ass) who plan to disrupt the convention and have declared all-out war against Mr. Obama and his supporters, who they accuse of making death threats and leaving dead bunny rabbits on doorsteps in the middle of the night.

What they share, without exception, is a profound disappointment at the way the primary turned out, and a revulsion at the way they perceive Mrs. Clinton to have been treated.

That has been enough to establish a de facto echo chamber that has proven to be a headache for Mr. Obama as his campaign tries to project Democratic unity ahead of the convention during the last week of August.

“There’s an unbelievable camaraderie and yet in some cases we have nothing in common,” said Diane Mantouvalos, a leader in the JustSayNoDeal anti-Obama coalition, who plans to attend the Denver convention and work in a loft rented out for pro-Hillary bloggers from around the country. “There is an element of venting, but also, if you thought you were alone, you were wrong.”

The best-established group of Clinton ’08 loyalists consists of influential Democratic bundlers like Ms. de Rothschild, Jill Iscol and Susie Tompkins Buell.

Recently, several of them met privately with Senator Chuck Schumer, who runs the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee. According to a number of attendees and sources with direct knowledge of the meeting, their purpose was to lobby Mr. Schumer about introducing a new code of conduct for Democratic candidates that would officially declare gender bias as offensive as racism, and to encourage him to make it the official position of the party not to deal with media outlets perceived to be trafficking in misogyny.

“It was productive,” said one attendee.

(Mr. Schumer’s office said the senator was traveling abroad and could not be reached for comment.)

Ms. Buell plans to attend the convention only on Aug. 26, and will attend with the former first lady a discussion about gender bias held by the political action committee Women Count, before Mrs. Clinton delivers her prime-time speech. She says she will vote for Mr. Obama, but instead of raising money for him, she will concentrate on Congressional races this cycle.

“We can’t let this happen again,” she said.

Ms. Iscol, too, has arrived at compromise somewhere short of full support for the nominee.

She considers herself a devoted friend to Mrs. Clinton, whom she first met at her Vineyard home in 1997, and for whom she raised hundreds of thousands of dollars during her presidential campaign. She said she likes Mr. Obama, whom she first met at a dinner on the Vineyard in 2004, and described herself as committed to party unity. She plans to vote for Mr. Obama—he called her after the primaries to ask for her support—but she said she is waiting to see if Mrs. Clinton is put on the ticket before she decides whether to raise money for Mr. Obama.

Ms. de Rothschild, on the other hand, doesn’t see herself even voting for Mr. Obama.

She said the Obama campaign has addressed her demands to give Mrs. Clinton a prime-time platform during the convention and adopt some of her language into the party platform, but she still has grievances. She thinks the bitter primary exposed the nominating process’ system of caucuses and proportionally weighted delegates as fundamentally undemocratic, and she wants Mr. Obama and Mr. Dean to address the fact that it needs to be fixed. And she has a problem with the way the Clintons were treated.

“If this party turns its back on Bill Clinton, it’s not a party that deserves our loyalty,” she said.

She also said she still has serious reservations about Mr. Obama’s principles and experience and thinks the questions raised during the primaries about his unsavory associations with the Rev. Jeremiah Wright and Tony Rezko remain appropriate issues.

“That’s not Swift-boating,” she said.

In that regard, at least, Ms. de Rothschild has something in common with the anti-Obama bloggers and organizers, about 60 of whom gathered at the Country Inn hotel near Dulles airport in Washington on Aug. 9 and 10 for a leadership meeting to coordinate strategy for protesting the Democratic convention. (The meeting was closed to the press, organizers said, to avoid infiltration by Obama sympathizers.)

The attendees came from the ranks of the creators of PUMA and dozens of Web sites, including HillaryClintonforum, pumaparty, AlwaysForHillary, the Denver Group—which plans to run anti-Obama commercials during the convention—and a blog radio show called No Quarter (featuring a “Reading Rezko” edition). Many of the sites feature videos of pumas baring their teeth in the wild.

In this parallel universe, Mr. Obama, or NObama, as he is often called, is a misogynistic fraud. The DNC and other Democratic officials were in on it, too, conspiring against Mrs. Clinton to advance their own political agenda.

In one typical video, Howard Dean is juxtaposed with images of Dopey from Snow White and the Seven Dwarfs; Donna Brazile is compared to Ursula the Sea Witch from The Little Mermaid; and Nancy Pelosi morphs into Cruella De Vil from 101 Dalmations.

(Asked for a response, Obama campaign spokesman Nick Shapiro said, “At the Democratic convention, we will ensure that the voices of everyone who participated in this historic process are respected and our party will be fully unified heading into the November election.”)

Long-term, the fringe groups are talking about purging the Democratic Party of Obama supporters or even starting their own third party. Short-term, they are focused on ruining the convention.

“Hi everybody. I hope that the Denver convention will be turned into the American equivalent of Tiananmen Square,” wrote a commenter named “johninca” on a Web site announcing PUMA’s 2008 “convention” in Washington.

In an interview, Darragh Murphy, the founder of PUMAPac, called the meeting crucial to counteract Mr. Obama’s aggressive and prolific online supporters.

“I started saying this was more than my candidate versus your candidate,” she said. “We need to become a movement, too.”

Murphy filed papers with the F.C.C. to start PUMAPac on June 3 and claims it has since grown to 10,000 members and has raised $50,000. The PAC is funding a loft for bloggers in Denver, organizing delegate outreach and financing an anti-Obama movie, The Audacity of Democracy.

Ms. Murphy, a mother of three who lives outside Boston, believes that the only way to save the Democratic Party at this point is to destroy it. Mr. Obama must lose, and his supporters must be purged.

She said that Obama supporters have harassed her and her followers by banging on their windows with pots and pans in the middle of the night, making phone threats and leaving dead rabbits on their doorsteps.

“If this guy wins, that style of campaigning will become the de facto method,” said Ms. Murphy.

(On mybarackobama.com, one blogger accused Ms. Murphy, who voted for Mr. McCain in the 2000 Massachusetts primary, of being a McCain plant and called her a “Republican Astro-Turfer.” She denies being a plant.)

At the D.C. meeting with Ms. Murphy was Will Bower, the founder of PUMA08. A former administrator of Hillary Clinton’s Facebook group, “Hillary Clinton for President; One Million Strong,” he participated in the conference call on the night Mrs. Clinton suspended her campaign. That original 5 p.m. strategy call has now become a weekly event dubbed the “puma prowl,” during which rank and file members get their marching orders about what DNC switchboard to paralyze by mass-calling or which superdelegates to bombard with e-mail.

Superdelegates, of course, became irrelevant to the national political discourse the day Mrs. Clinton dropped out of the race. But for the most committed Clinton loyalists, they are still seen as the key to victory. And no one is as focused on lobbying them as Ricki Lieberman.

A former Hillraiser—a Clinton bundler who has raised at least $100,000—Ms. Lieberman, 61, drafts her “Electability Watch” newsletter every night in a cavernous apartment on Manhattan’s West End Avenue, which has played host to Governor David Paterson among other New York officials.

Part pep talk, part clip job, part poll update and part superdelegate call list, the “EW,” as it is known, is blasted out to hundreds of the Clinton supporters nightly. An Aug. 6 edition began, “This evening at a ‘thank you, Hillraisers’ event, Senator Clinton told me how honored she is by the people who are working to have her name put into nomination and appreciative of those signing the petition.”

On Aug. 7, Ms. Lieberman sat in a dining room decorated with menorahs and family photos, shooing her cat away from a bowl of cherries in the middle of the table. She wore a blue shirt with large orange beads and explained how she provides each recipient with the names and numbers of 18 superdelegates (symbolizing, she said, the 18 million voters who supported Mrs. Clinton in the primaries).

“It takes me an enormous amount of time,” she said.

Ms. Lieberman, a dyed-in-the-wool Democrat who has served as campaign treasurer for Representative Jerry Nadler, thinks she is helping the party by vetting Mr. Obama. She dismissed Mrs. Clinton’s calls for her followers to get behind Mr. Obama as a “mixed message” and lit up when the subject of a video of Mrs. Clinton speaking at a San Francisco fund-raiser came up.

In the video, Mrs. Clinton appeared to agree with the suggestion that her name be included on a roll call in Denver, to help with the process of emotional “catharsis” for her followers. Like many of the diehard Clinton loyalists fighting to get Mrs. Clinton’s name onto the roll call during the nomination, Ms. Lieberman took the senator’s remarks as a green light to continue.

“I really believe she will be the nominee—I wouldn’t be doing this if I didn’t,” said Ms. Lieberman, who met Mr. Obama once on the campaign trail. (“He didn’t pay a bit of attention to me,” she said. “He’s tall and looked around for someone more important.”)

When asked if anything, barring Mrs. Clinton’s nomination, would make her happy at the convention, she said, “I’m not sure there’s a happy ending.”

jhorowitz@observer.com

Potential Obama VP Tim Kaine Explains how Russia Complies With "The One"

On Fox this morning, Virginia Gov. Tim Kaine explained how Obama saved Georgia:
“It was a bad crisis for the world. It required tough words but also a smart approach to call on the international community to step in. And I’m very, very happy that the Senator's request for a ceasefire has been complied with by President Medvedev.” Click here to watch the video.

Of course the Russians complied with his request. They've also started inflating their tires in order to reduce domestic demand and free up oil for export markets. It's like we don't even need to elect Obama to the White House--he can stop the rise of the seas, heal the planet, and bring us peace in our time just by issuing press releases from the comfort of his Hawaiian retreat. More...

Here's the official press story: "TBILISI, Georgia — Georgia's president has told a news conference that he agrees to plan to end the fighting with Russia over breakaway regions in Georgia.

Mikhail Saakashvili told reporters after talks with French President Nicolas Sarkozy that "there should be a cease-fire."

The plan was negotiated by Sarkozy and has also been agreed to by Russia's president. It calls for both Russian and Georgian troops to move back to their original positions.

Some sticking points remain, including the status of Russian peacekeepers in Georgia's breakaway provinces of South Ossetia and Abkhazia."